Cyber-Berkut, a Russian leaning alleged hacker collective in Ukraine decided to weigh in on the whole Manafort debacle with a data dump. The dump unsurprisingly is pro Russian and attempts to paint the US as trying to manipulate things and make it look like Manafort is guilty. Berkut does this by dropping a word doc and a couple of pdf’s that they claim make a case for the State Department trying to discredit Manafort’s efforts in Ukraine on Russia’s behalf. It is rather amusing and ineffectual really but I had to take a closer look because they claimed to have hacked these documents. The documents look legit but there is no source on these as to where they were hacked from if hacked at all as well as no other dump to confirm a hack at all of any merit.
They try to link Leshenko to all of this. Leshenko too was alleged to have been the hacker in the Manafort cell phone hack and extortion. Same actor?
Now berkut doing this is not new really but most of the time they spend their time attacking the Ukrainian factions who reside outside of Donetsk who want to have a free country, not those who want Russian rule. In the past this group has hacked and DDoS’d sites but this one, weak as it is, caught my attention just because Manafort is now in the hot seat over Russian ties to oligarchs who are close to Putin while running the Trump campaign so one tends to want to dig. In looking at Berkut and their history other have claimed that they are part of the Fancy Bear group and even attempts have been made to link them to the cutout Gucci-fer (Gucci, like Gianni and Fur, like… Fur.. Not GOOSIFUR) and DNCLeaks as well. These are somewhat tenuous reports though from what I saw in looking out there at them but it made me want to dig a little more into them.
Berkut showed up in or around July 2014 with sites being created on numerous domains since. Most of theses sites had been registered privately negating personal information but several of them from the time of first creation have one name attached to them; Aleksandr Pachenko. An Aleksandr Panchenko does live in Ukraine and does in fact work in tech who may fit the bill as to the originator of the sites. The email address though used for each of these, email@example.com, does not really exist and the addresses used are bogus as well so there is not much to go on other than a name but let’s get back to those pesky and numerous domains eh?
It seems that whoever created these sites (including a defuct darknet site) really wanted to get information penetration maxed out. Many of the sites still work and others have been decommissioned and the domains are up for sale. in each case though of creation they all have been created anonymously with domain registrations all over the world except for the six or seven I located with early creation dates going back to 2014. Is this because this Aleksandr created them without figuring what he was doing with them? Or were these created with that name as a means to an end to mislead people? If in fact Berkut is just a anonymous hacker group wanna be aligned with the Russian state then maybe this guy just figured that historical whois costs money and long enough goes by and no one pays attention? If it is the other case where someone is using his name, why be so consistent with it? Does someone hold a grudge or is this a famous person that they are just using the name of? I started looking around to see and here’s what I came up with.
Aleksandr Panchenko 1: Mathematician currently studying in Germany on Phd
Aleksandr Panchenko 2: Chessmaster (deceased)
Aleksandr Panchenko 3: 32 year old living in Kyiv Ukraine who’s profession is in computers (Oracle Dev, Unix Admin etc)
Aleksandr Panchenko 4: Wedding Photographer in Kyiv Ukraine
There were others but you get the sense that the name Aleksandr Panchenko in the Baltics is kinda like John Lee in China if you catch my drift. Though, that one guy, the one with all the technical experience does kinda stand out right? That is someone who has the technical chops to do some hacking and dumping as well as run sites right? It is all way circumstantial but I for one, if I were the FBI say, might go look this guy up and ask em a few questions. After all, the Berkut has been naughty and attacked us as well as others in the wider internet world.
The Manafort intersection though still interests me. I wonder if they will continue on trying to muddy the waters now that Manny has decided he will testify in front of Congress. As the shoes of the millipede keep dropping I am sure that the RU factions will try to drop chaff on things to confuse everyone. I will keep an eye on the site(s) to see if they dump anything else of interest but for now just take a gander at these files and the results of the searches…
I have been ruminating lately on our situation regarding aspects of Russian interference (active measures) and the new President of the United States. In previous posts I have delved into the Wilderness of Mirrors of counterintelligence that we find ourselves in today as well as some other musings on motives that the Russians and the President (and his minions) may have in relation to their actions. Today though, on the morning of the big Comey interview in congress, I would like to cover the fabricator. By fabricator I mean the intelligence term and not the guy who makes something on the line at the local plant. A fabricator in the parlance of spies means someone who lies, creates stories, and half truths in order to deceive in order to mislead intelligence operations. More to the point, I would like to submit that in the goings on today you will have to ponder whether or not the president and his minions are all fabricators acting in whatever interest they have against us all.
Fabricators have motives just like any other liar but here are the defined reasons in the intelligence definition:
- Fanaticism or ideology is often cited as the key reason behind fabricator activity. When fanaticism is involved or ideology becomes stronger than morals, fabrication may then be seen as a reasonable means to an end. The fabricator may invent the fake intelligence to help bring about a specific outcome to a situation.
- Mental illness, such as confabulation, often combined with alcoholism, causes some individuals to fabricate intelligence, most often done as part of a fantasy of being a secret agent or to gain official attention.
- Money is a strong incentive for some fabricators. Often, a reliable intelligence source agent will become a fabricator because of financial problems or greed. When the agent no longer has valid intelligence to sell to the conducting intelligence officer, the agent may decide to sell fabricated intelligence in order to satisfy need or greed. (Source: Wikipedia)
As you can see these are not so different from any other liar, however in the context of the intelligence world and what we see playing out today all of them could also easily fit the Presidents and the White Houses machinations of late. many have speculated already on all of these with regard to Trump and his coterie of minions in the White House today. I would put it to you here that all of these are likely but money and fanaticism are two of the key players here with a healthy helping of political expeditiousness. While Trump seems to be in his own reality much of the time, his outright lying and cognitive dissonance has multiple purposes. I would say that he has all of these factors, the mental illness, (narcissism) Desire for money and power, (Money) and a fanaticism that he wears like a cloak to keep him in the seat of power by using a base that he may not in fact believe in truly, but needs their support to win. I would say that this was a thumbnail of his campaign and what we are seeing now as he is running the country.
Looking back I would say the one biggest tell has been his claims of the Obama admin “tapping his wires” at Trump Tower during the election. Trump used this, as he does many other outrageous claims by Tweet, to distract everyone. He is specifically distracting the media, from looking at the real problem at hand (e.g. Russian ties between himself and his coterie and the monies involved) in what I am calling a WMD attack (Weapon of Mass Distraction) vis a vis early am Tweet storms. As we have seen with the claim of wiretapping there is no evidence but he uses spin and word salad to confabulate and bamboozle the media and the populace to look the other direction. I put it to you now that you can expect some other outbursts today or tomorrow post the Comey hearing in an attempt to spin things away from the connections that he and his people have with Russia.
Trump is a fabricator.
See through it.
See Robert Redford at the top of the page? He’s playing a character who was an intelligence analyst who read books for the CIA. He came back from getting lunch for his co-workers and found them all dead, killed by a rogue CIA operation that hired an outside freelance assassin to kill them all and cover up rogue operations. This is fiction, and YOU are not him. So please everyone just calm the fuck down about the Wikileaks Vault7 dump ok?
RIGHT! Well Wikileaks has done it again and released a dump of CIA exploits this time around. There are quite a few little gems in there and the hue and cry by the genpop has been idiotic as usual. My personal favorite was the epic fuckery around how the New York Times chose to say that some of the exploits “bypassed” the encryption of programs like Signal which sent many an INFOSEC twitter account into a tizzy over “OMG IT ISN’T A BYPASS!” which, by the way, FUCKING CUT THAT SHIT OUT YOU SELF IMPORTANT FUCKWITS! The point of the statement is true, if the software in the Vault7 dump is used on someone’s phone then the CIA is BYPASSING the encryption altogether. For that matter they are bypassing the application altogether! So stop with the self important I AM A GOD DAMNED IMPORTANT PENTESTER AND THE SEMANTICS OF THE HERE ARTICLE ARE WRONG ERMEGERD!
The point of it all is that these tools, if used against you (until they are mitigated by patching and fixes to OS’) will make any precautions you take on those devices moot ok? Arguing over the semantics of it all is just fucking stupid posturing and if you expect the average person to understand what you are saying, then you are delusional ok? Oh, and if you think that the average person is the target of these attacks, yep, you once again are delusional. Specifically, if you are a US person CONUS and you are just the average Joe the plummer, you are NOT the target of the CIA.
Sorry.. I know it hurts your self image but it’s fucking true.
Get over yourselves.
Ok, so that rant is over, now let’s move on to other things about this dump. There’s a lot of techical stuff that will make the wonks masturbate for quite a long time and that’s to be expected. However, I would like to talk about a few other side loaded things happening that you should think about. First off, let’s talk about the dump itself and who dumped it. It seems from what I am seeing Assange saying, is that the dump was given to Wikileaks by an insider who wanted to open up discussion over the pervasive nature of these kinds of exploits against common and deeply penetrated systems in our collective lives. By this I mean cell phones, TV’s and other IOT devices. Now most of the stuff in the dump looks to be from 2012 up to nearly 2016 so it is older in respect to 0day and hacking exploits in many ways. Since they were secret though and they took a lot of time to make sure there were bypasses as well as ways to hide their presence, the CIA’s stuff is still old from a certain standpoint. Within the community one has to offer up the idea that not everything stays secret and those services that cover assets that the CIA might want to bug also have people who spend their time looking for such software right? What I am saying is who knows what has been working well and undetected and what has been detected by a foreign power and counteracted or allowed to use as a means of disinformation. Take that into consideration when you read the dump. Sure the common man here in the world may not know about this stuff and it will blow their minds but in the IC maybe not ok?
Now let’s consider how long this data has been in the hands of Wikileaks and who may have had it before. This stuff may have been in the community at large for a long time. The CIA may have shared this tech with FIVE EYES in some cases but if you look at the headers much of it was NOFORN (No Foreign Persons) so let’s just assume it was inside Langley. If the data was common there, when did it get leaked originally? Who had it in the interim? This goes back to the paragraph above too. If the exploits were working, now we have to wonder if they were being fed bad data by them from an aware adversary (this will play a key fact in the дезинформация part of this post later) given when we think the data was stolen and leaked. The fact of the matter is this, brass tacks I don’t believe a word Assange says from his balcony at Hacienda Ecuador and my money is that this was not leaked by a CIA employee just because they had a change of heart. I personally believe that whoever leaked it is an asset of a foreign power and that power just might be Russia.
Which brings me to the issue of the quick disinformation spin up by what looks to be Russian trolls and bots on Twitter and elsewhere over this last dump. The narratives that are starting to spin up are aiming this data directly at Democrats (including Hillary) and are aimed to cause more friction within the country and our politics. Gee, who lately has been doing that I wonder? The Daily Beast had a good report on this and I agree with Rob that this has spun up way too quickly and too much cohesion to allow for it not to have been in the pipeline before the dump. My meaning is that as we have seen in the recent past with the hack on the DNC and active measures on our electoral system, the Russians have a useful idiot in Assange and the Wikileaks organization. Assange has been another lackey of Putin like Trump and in fact it is quite possible that the leaked data came from Russia by way of an asset inside the CIA. Which then makes the inevitability of a Russian mole hunt at Langley a very large possibility. I bet the polygraphers are all warming up their electrodes as I write this in Virginia.
So, while all you INFOSEC nerds wank off to the sploits just remember these salient points.
- There’s a bigger more subtle game going on here
- YOU are not that important so just take this stuff and work on how to fix it
- Take a beat and remember YOU ARE NOT THAT IMPORTANT
- The CIA is not charter to work within the USA these exploits were targeted at other countries. Just look at FINE DINING for case officers
- Consider what exploits other countries have and are being used that you don’t know about
- PENTESTERS ARE NOT FUCKING JAMES BOND. FOR FUCKS SAKE JAMES BOND IS NOT JAMES BOND!
Look at the bigger picture.
Forty odd days into the new presidency and Putin is already telling his media minions to not talk about Trump anymore. The reason? Because Trump has become more unhinged and potentially uncontrolled by his possible handlers at the Kremlin is the going theory in the IC world. Personally I think that Putin is of two minds where this is concerned and this post will try to explain the possible blowback for him as well as the potential benefits of an unhinged president as well as maybe an impeachment. This gambit by Putin worked so well, too well, that perhaps the Kremlin and the ops guys (psyops/active measures/Gerasimov) could not have even gamed this out fully to have counter moves or plans on contingencies here.
The hacking of the DNC and all the active measures surrounding the 2016 election cycle from a strict operations standpoint was a thing of beauty to behold. Yes, it was carried out on us but as someone who appreciates a well planned out operation this one was pretty well done. The American populace was ripe for this and the political system was in a state where just a simple nudge with the right assets started the great Rube Goldberg device moving and it culminated in Trump winning the election. I will not cover the problems with our voting systems here I have done so in another post(s) a while back but let’s just look at it from the higher levels of disinformation shall we? The ‘Fake News’ thing was a perfect storm for the under-educated Facebook minions out there and the very nature of social media was the teflon sprayed slug that deployed it all. From the churnalists and the disinfo operations out there the sway and the echo chambering that happened allowed for a critical mass of Trump support that would in the end eek out the electoral win. This is a real feat given that three million or so people voted for Clinton and the overall popular vote was easily hers. This was some math that I do not believe Putin and his intelligence community thought was a real possibility. I think they were as shocked by Trumps win as Trump was on the night of the election.
Trump did win however and at that time it was in Putin’s interest to cater to the man, play him with praise and friendship in order to curry that favor. The reciprocal praise and love by Trump throughout the candidacy and into the presidency has been odd as well and plays to the whole ‘kompromat’ story too. For this piece I am not going to stray too far into the kompromat theory at the Trump level (another day soon) but it has to be mentioned here that at the very least, there seemed to be a bromance between them for whatever reasons. Likely on both parts at the base of it, the idea that if they are friends they can do deals together which is what Trump had said on more than one occasion. This idea plays for me outside the kompromat thing because this is Trump after all (The Art of the Deal etc) but on Putin’s part it was a contingency plan. Putin’s goal was to cause as much fractiousness as possible in the elections and to unbalance the US as he perceived Clinton had in Russia and he succeeded.
Now that Clinton was out and Trump was in Putin likely thought that it would be smooth sailing, but, he should have had an psychological monograph or assessment on Trump before assuming so. It seems that they did not and have been compiling one as of February after the win and spiral since then. This is where the blowback starts as well as the possible wins for Putin. On the blowback side, an uncontrolled Trump could lead to actual crazy actions that would impede Putin’s goals. What if Trump decides to go all out and attempt to block his actions in Ukraine? What if Trump does an about face on NATO? What if Trump just goes off the deep end and starts wars with proxies of Russia that would complicate Putin’s plans of regional control and power? All of these things have to be taken into account post the administrations rocky, to say the least, fits and starts these forty days or so. Add to this all of the attention by the media and the populace, who are now asking for independent investigations into the ties between Trump and Russia pre election and you have heat. This heat is anathema to Putin’s goals here and thus it is blowback for him. He has been distancing himself from Trump and if sudden unexplained deaths of certain Russians is any indication, he has been cleaning up loose ends as well. But these things lead back to the kompromat, and I am saving that for later.
Anyway, let’s look at the upside to the Trump instability for Putin. Trump is a wild card and his consistent instability is causing push back here in the US that may lead to serious investigations on him, his minions, and all of their connections to Russian money as well as the whole Emoluments issue. There are law suits being formed and registered as well as the notion of an independent counsel for the Russia investigation has been gaining momentum. With all of this friction, the wheels of the US’ foreign policy has been slowed as well. Suffice to say that with all that is happening it would be easy to not be able to respond properly to actions taking place in the world nor there being a real outcry to respond to things because we have all been thrust into self introspection and a certain protectionism mentality. With this slack space to work, even with Trump being an unpredictable and uncontrolled asset of the Kremlin, Putin would have room to work on moving his agenda forward rather unhindered.
Once again, the ‘Wilderness of Mirrors‘ can lead one to inaction because you just cannot tell what is real anymore and who is telling the truth. With Trump and his outlandish tweets (say like accusing Obama of a “wire tapp”) on Trump tower it is hard to tell what he believes and what he is trying to maybe throw shade on to unbalance us all. Putin might seek to enhance this behavior as well as use it to his advantage as well. I would expect more disinformation (fake news) that may well end up in the president’s tweet stream and not just stuff about internal politics here in the US. The goal overall is to keep us unbalanced because an unbalanced nation is a nation trapped in amber and a nation weakened to inaction is exactly what Putin needs to succeed …Even with blowback.
With all of the crazed tweets over the weekend from 45 I thought it would be appropriate to acquaint my readers with the notion of the “Wilderness of Mirrors” as James Jesus Angleton put it. Angleton is famous for his paranoia and his actions during the time he was chief of counter intelligence at the CIA from 1954-1975. Today we are in an unprecedented time of national intrigue with our very nations political system at stake with the issues surrounding the hack of the DNC, the manipulation of the US election process, and now the allegations and insinuations that the Trump campaign may have colluded with Russia. All of these things now fall under the auspices of Counter Intelligence in that there are actors within our government that may be compromised and have either been witting or unwitting accomplices to a foreign powers manipulation of our national transition of power. What’s more, these same individuals may in fact be assets of that foreign power while they are in the power within the White House and elsewhere within the new administration.
Take a breath there and contemplate that statement.
We potentially have reached what I personally thought was only a movie plot line as a reality today. There are actual reasons to question whether or not the President of the US today may be a witting or unwitting asset of the Russian state. There may be reason to believe that the minions of the new President may also be assets of the Russian state, and to even make it worse we have seen a litany of lies and half truths given by these people and their dissembling has been caught by the Fourth Estate and held accountable for them. While there is no smoking gun yet, there is a lot to parse out with every mornings headlines in the Times and other papers of record but I would like to lift the curtain a little for you on the counterintel side for you. If you are gonna play this game at home you need a primer on counter intelligence and the ‘Wilderness of Mirrors’
When Angleton made the comment on the wilderness of mirrors he was referring to his own deep paranoia and the nature of counter intel. You have spies upon spies that you must determine who they work for in reality. As the chief of counter intelligence it was Angleton’s job to assume that assets and agents within his own organization were in fact double agents or even triple agents. It was Angleton’s job to seek the truth of what his officers were telling him from intelligence reports and what their assets were saying in a time when the great game was at it’s highest point with the USSR. In essence, and this was his personality anyway, he had to assume at all times there was compromise within his organization and to determine who those assets that were doubles were and were working for in reality.
Now, in the current situation we are going through with 45 and the Russian efforts to destabilize the United States there is no internal mole hunt that we have heard about within the halls of the CIA but, there is a counter intelligence operation going on at least at the FBI concerning all the players we are hearing about in the news and likely other names we have not heard. The current players you know are;
- Paul Manafort (Worked for Yanukovich/Had affairs/Money troubles/Access to slush funds)
- Trump (No tax retturns/business with Russia/Love of Putin)
- Jeff Sessions (Lied about meeting Russian Ambassador twice at least)
- Michael Flynn (Lied about talking to Russian ambassador to Pence and everyone else)
- Carter Page (Business with Russia and seems disposed to them)
- Jared Kushner (Revelations of meeting with Russian ambassador with Sessions)
- Roger Stone (May have handed over DNC emails to Wikileaks physically)
- Un-named others TBD
There are likely more to be named as we go along but you get the gist. The people in the inner circle of the current presidents campaign and those he then added to his administration all seem to have had regular contact with the Russian government pre election and post. Not only are they talking to Russian emissaries but according to the IC, they are talking to Russian intelligence officers. This is not a good thing even if they were unwitting assets of the Russian intelligence apparatus. To lie about these contacts only makes the problem worse for the state and places more suspicion on them all, which leads to the wilderness of mirrors that the fourth estate is amplifying with the reporting (which they should be doing) on the leaks that are coming out of the IC. Leaks mind you to my mind, are a means to an end to get the word out because if they did not, the admin would attempt to bury them forever. To wit, we have agents of foreign powers and people within the admin who are all lying about their connections and discussions. This is a counter intelligence operation and a mole hunt potentially. Do we believe the people who have been sources of the Steele notes? Or do we think that maybe they are telling tales to muddy the waters even more? Since some of these people seem to be dying conveniently are they being killed off by Putin for talking and telling the truth or are they just being killed to muddy the waters some more?
This is how you have to approach this. No one is telling the truth and you have to discern what the truth of it all really is. Who do you believe?
We are in the wilderness of mirrors kids. Look at the news and try to parse out what is truth and what is fiction. It makes it even worse when there are factions out there like Alex Jones and the SVR that would like you to believe wild stories and disinformation campaigns set out to further their own agendas. All of this then, in a completely inconceivable twist today is re-tweeted by the president of this country who often does so as a diversion (one hopes) or actually believes these things (much worse for he may be mentally deranged) which unbalances us all. We are now all in Angleton’s shoes trying to determine what is truth today and this is one of the most destabilizing things happening today to the United States populace and government. I want you all to understand this as you watch or read the news with these revelations. Specifically now that we have reached peak crazy with Trump saying that the former President ordered a FISA warrant on himself and the campaign in 2016. There are many issues here to consider and if in fact the IC had intel that the candidate and his minions were in fact in touch with Russian intelligence ‘constantly’ then what actions would the IC and the president have at their command to take up to determine if this was in fact true?
The recent accusation by the current president may be complete lunacy and the product of his own reading or watching conspiracy sites, or, it may have some basis in fact. In that there may not have been a FISA warrant but instead foreign friendly intelligence agencies, monitoring not only Russia but by their outside mandate, the current president and his people’s conversations “might” have some telling information. Maybe they in fact got the conversations and there was no smoking gun but instead the conversations looked suspect and more digging was required. Perhaps then, some group like the FIVE EYES passed along this information and it is still being worked by the IC here in the US?
‘Wilderness of Mirrors” kids.
I feel dirty…
Because I have been going through the messages from Paul Manafort’s daughters iPhone sql light that’s why. I feel dirty more so because there are revelations in there that, if true, could be evidence of potential kompromat on Manafort while he was working in Ukraine. The Sql database as far as I can tell is real and in fact Manafort himself confirmed to Politico that his daughters phone was hacked on the record so there is that. The question then becomes did someone tamper or create this sql db? In looking at this so far, I cannot say that I think it was created whole cloth or that it has been edited in a way to add these allegations but I have only done a cursory forensic look at it. What I ended up doing was looking more closely at the chats since Politico went on record after they lifted things from this blog. Yesterday I went through all the back and forth and found many a salacious thing. Cutting to the chase though, I found conversations between Manaforts daughter and someone about how her father was having an affair with a girl younger than one of his daughters.
What is even more interesting is that the allegation here is that not only was Manafort having this affair but that girl (who is named in the chats and I have backstopped and was in fact in Ukraine at the time mentioned while Manafort was there) but that of all things Paul seems to have said that she was some “Russian friends” daughter. Though the text below states they don’t really think that the girl is Russian there are more down stream that talk about her father and her family and ties to Russia (maybe) but the sick burn here is if she is, well, that is a pretty direct tie to the country that might, ya know, use that as kompromat on Pauly eh?
Even the idea that Paul may have had a young trophy mistress is enough for blackmail but the texts go on to describe her travel with him all over the world including to Ukraine while he was working there. So, if the Russians did not have access to her or had placed her in the proximity of Paul this certainly would have been information they would not have passed up on to use. So, once more, if the sql database is legit and the information presented here is on the mark, it is quite possible that Manafort was at least in this instance easily vulnerable to compromise by the Russians.
As the chats went on though, it seems that the new girl was also straining Manafort’s money because he was being extravagant with her. As you can see from above, he allegedly rented her a house in the Hamptons by his own for a summer and bought a NYC apartment for her to be in. All of this money being spent also as it happens, was concurrent with his daughters wedding coming and Ukraine not paying him for his services. I believe that the timing for this was at the time Yanukovich was about to flee to Russia and those ledgers with the monies supposed to be paid to Manafort were dug up, which in the end he did not get. All of this could lead to further compromise right? What if all the money trouble and girl trouble put Paul in a bind and the Russians said “We have way to make things better! You know this Trump guy right?”
You see where I am going don’t you?
The above text was mentioned in the politico story but here is the raw text. So if this is all true it seems to me that it and much more (allegations of sex things that I will not talk about) in my book would be quite enough to land one in the dossier like that one Steele put together on Trump. All of it, all the sordid details would be things that the SVR/GRU would LOVE to know about and leverage wouldn’t you say? But wait it gets better! It seems that Paul took a page from The Patreus playbook and tried the old “draft email” technique popular with television terrorists!
This evidently was working for him until the daughter saw it on his phone. She mentioned a sketchy email and that kinda jives with that email server and domain I found before huh? Maybe that server is how they are communicating? I would love to see what is in that email server, I wonder who else he has been emailing on there? Anyway, there is a lot more in the db that is pretty damning as well as all kinds of personal info like passwords to systems, wireless AP’s and other things owned and operated by the Manafort daughter and immediate family. There is also quite a bit of mentions about Trump and how, even at one point it seems that Manafort was messing about with porn on a Trump laptop or some such thing. I leave all the really dirty things to Politico and any other media source that has the wherewithal to locate the sql dump and open it.
As for me, I have a copy and those law enforcement types who want it can ask if they have the interest. I have tried to get the Anon’s who posted the db to give me more but I am thinking that their statement (see top of page) was an allusion to all the dirt in that sql light db… Which politico, if they ever really got the db, which I doubt now, would have been ravening over to publish.
I just wanted to cover the idea that this is maybe disinfo and thus placed out there for people to find and publish to muddy the waters. While that is possible, and we are dealing with possible nation state actors, in looking at the db and the contents I lean towards this being real data. The chats are very fluid and read properly, not as if just some anon has put this together inside of the db. The facts on backstopping the names and dates and locations have also checked out so I think it is legit. Added to the fact that Manafort copped to the hack being real adds to the credibility of the data.
That being said… You never know so I thought I would make that caveat. Anything is possible with a nation state player. It is now the job of the news orgs and the LE set to look into this and to determine if the data is true as well as if this possible could have been part of the picture where Manafort and the Russia connections to Trump and his campaign may have their intersection.
The young woman asserted to be the mistress in this morass has deleted her profiles online as of today. I have not released her name so someone must have called her from a news service. Someone else obviously learned how to open the SQL light database. Sorry miss, but the internet does not forget so your stuff will be out there in cache in perpetuity.
CNN has finally published something on the dump but they ONLY went after the weakest bit of data in there. A comment by his daughter is just that, a comment but they went with that when they could have gone with the provable facts that he has/had a mistress in Andriana and that he bought her a place in NYC as well as spent lavishly on her. All this while he was not getting paid by Ukraine and then making odd loans.
What I was getting at all along was that this is all provable information, I backstopped it and now the mistress has deleted her online profiles! Come on CNN stop being pussies!
So, I have decided to dump the dump for you all to look at. Go. Download. Research.
http://264nglqbtqlabsxl.onion/manafort-clan-secrets-revealed-pt-1-sql-sms-etc/ <--darknet site dump Links to clearnet download of data https://mega.nz/#!vhdEGKKC!scYBsRyrPy1-8nDB8_f4Ij5sS8OMhWMLSWJdUtHuSCA https://mega.nz/#!D1M1HJQK!Oc2pF0lJ2usBBy0IkujE5EHqU6UhBQ5mHttURvxJqYw
I have been in a funk of late. Since the election I have been less and less inclined to write anything and when I have of late I have only seen it stolen by politico hacks and taken in directions that lean to the more salacious. Now as I sit here this last week seeing the headlines as leaks keep dripping out from the IC and elsewhere on the Putin/Money/Russia connections for several of Trumps inner circle I feel some perspective is in order. Many of the pundits and journalists are holding court on TV and on radio asking why Putin may have done all this and the answers have been been interesting and somewhat consistent. Those in the know, those who have lived in Russia or have studied the country and the leader have given a pretty good assessment of his mindset and his brand of nationalism. One of them today actually called Putin’s Russia “Neo Soviet” which I would agree with very much. He of course was relating that comment to the state media there and the propaganda control that Putin has over it as well as the methodology updates given to it.
I myself was there in Germany when the wall fell (got a piece here somewhere in the bat cave) and I had been to Russia briefly so I have a taste of what it was like then. I have also spent a lot of time reading the history of the era as well as having lived through it so all of this new “Cold War” talk makes me feel at home again and at the same time rather twitchy about the whole deal. Suffice to say though, the cold war never really ended with Putin’s ascension to power after Yeltsin, perestroika, and Glastnost. Those who have not been paying attention, and those who fail to read about history need to open a book now and get a sense of what is playing out here today on the geopolitical sphere. This is an incredibly scary time with Trump in the White House and Bannon working the levers of power behind him. With that admonishment, I will ponder the angles here and maybe you all might get something out of it.
Assets and Useful Idiots
As the leaks keep coming out we are seeing more accusations of players within the Trump team of their having meetings with certain “intelligence” officials from Russia. That we have not heard names is vexing but here is another fun fact that will make it even more problematic. The salient fact is that many within the halls of power in the Putin kleptocracy also have intelligence backgrounds and this is something that Putin put into play himself by hiring on people that he could notionally trust or, more to the point, control. So when someone from Trumps team met with a Russian that they “thought” was just a business man or woman, may have in fact not only been a business person but also an asset for Putin and his services (GRU/SVR/FSB) So some of these people might be classified as “useful idiots” and by the vary nature of their so called communications or meetings, might have been unwitting assets for Putin’s Russia.
On the flip side of this there may be room for some of these players to have had “kompromat” used against them to make them more pliant to become an asset. This type of allegation has been made at least on Trump from the notes put together by Christopher Steele, the former MI6 case officer who has since gone underground after his notes were printed by Buzzfeed. Currently though, no one has come forth with a leak of intelligence saying that any of the six or so people around Trump (as of today) had been compromised by Russia. That is not to say that they haven’t been and one has to take this into account in trying to understand what may have played out with these contacts and meetings alleged to have been carried out as a means to an end.
Money: If these meetings took place the likely aegis behind this for many seems to be money in some way. Better relations with Russia, being in the inner circle of Trump should he win, would grant much more opportunity to make money right?
Access: Access to anyone within the inner circle of Trump would be something any country, person, or business would seek to curry right? In the case of the Russians desiring this access would be on the face of it the same. Additionally the access would also perhaps allow for chances of further access and kompromat too. This all would lead to the last point.
Control: Whether or not you have kompromat on the players and ultimately access to Trump (if there is no direct kompromat on him to start) then you are in a position to control your asset that is close to the president. Perhaps with this control you could seek means to affect policy, certainly with that conduit you would have a window into the inner workings of the highest office in the US so that is not bad too.
In all, these contacts with Russian case agents or assets of the Putin regime constitute a real problem for the US and as such they should be looked into fully to determine if there has been compromise to anyone near the president if not the president himself as some are claiming. Even had we not had all the hacking and active measures that we know happened in the run up to the election, I for one would be asking questions if my IC had information they were willing to commit to paper about connections between senior people in the campaign and Russian’s period. Now that all of this is coming out, it is kind of hard for me to countenance the Republicans resistance so far in calling for a fuller investigation of these reports. It seems partisan politics outweighs good conscience these days.
My final thoughts on the likelihood that there are Russian assets within the ranks of the inner circle at the White House is that on some levels these people, if they have been meeting with the Russians all this time, were talking about the campaign as well as what future state there would be regarding Russia and the US in a Trump administration. Whether or not there was kompromat or not, even at the lowest level the consciences of these people must have had the moral compass working enough to know that they were being used and or were part and party to manipulation. In as much as the players so far have been fired from the campaign before the election as well as lied to the VP and then tossed out (Flynn) concerning their connections to Russia and Russian assets of the intelligence community to me, kind of says a lot.
They know they were wrong. Enough to lie about it in order to hope to skate on this.
Were they plotting a soft coup of the US?
No. I don’t believe that really.
Where does that lead me? Well, that leads me to believe that there is room for investigation into this as well as room to question just how much connection Trump has to Russia as well. This plays to the whole money angle too. I am willing to bet he has a lot of Russian money and monies that came from intricate shell corporations that bespeak international players in the intelligence and crime worlds. Does this mean though that I think trump was a cutout Russian asset set to run for the White House?
I just think that he was the quintessential “useful idiot” who had needs that Russia was willing to fill because they could use him. It was just added bonus that he had said he would run for office so many times over the years. This was a bid to hedge the Russian intelligence communities and Putin’s bets …And boy did it pay off. Though now that chicken is coming home to roost and Putin ain’t so happy anymore.
Right, so what were the goals with the active measures that Russia took against the election? Well, for that you have to look into how Putin thinks and boiled down, what Putin wants is to put Russia back into the seat of power it had both pre and during (a hybrid) the Soviet era. At the core Putin is a control freak and likes an ordered universe that he can control. So, when the Clinton’s were pissing him off by pushing the boundaries of Russia with NATO as well as what Putin saw as provocateur-ism in the Arab Spring and Maidan, well, he got pissed off. Ultimately then Putin sought to stop the momentum that the US may have fomented elsewhere in the world and would have continued doing had it not been for the new autocratic and nationalist notions that Trump has for the US in his administration. Though it is thought that Putin did not think Trump had a chance to win (someday we will have the conversation again about hacking the vote, but not now) it would have served Putin’s raison d’être to cause as much static and instability as he could in our system to benefit him.
The hacks on the DNC were just one level of play that we saw because it was blasted out by Wikileaks. The successions of leaks, trolls, fake news, and the like caused a firestorm within the political system and the country. It exacerbated the problems already in situ with Tea Parties and the like and opened it all up to a coup of a sort for the Alex Jones’ of the world. If Putin had had a real sense of the outcome I think he may have peddled back a bit on the active measures because now in Russia no one talks about Trump anymore… Per order of Putin. You see, Trump is no longer an asset anymore …He has become an unstable liability. This is what happens when you elect someone like Trump and now we have to live with it for at least 4 years barring some spectacular flame out and impeachment.
Anyway, back to the goals here. I personally agree with the sowing of doubt and static to cause malaise theory that has been put forth. I also think that Putin is shrewd enough to have contingencies in mind. So if Trump had won he would have someone in office that he knew he could easily goad and or control with social engineering. By this I mean that there may in fact be kompromat on Trump and both these guys know it. Trump, may have money deals in Russia he would like to hide (those pesky IRS files) as well as having some low level compromising video of golden showers. Maybe there is just video of him (real or maybe edited) to make it look like Trump had a good time with the worlds best low class hookers in St. Petersburg! I guess time will tell but all of these things together and or apart could make Trump more maleable to sway from Russia right? All in all, this was well played by Russia and worked I think beyond their expectations. Frankly I think it is now bordering on complete blowback because Trump is so inconsistent and reactive that were he cornered he might become a little too random for the order loving Putin.
There is a win though for Putin that he will continue to play out in other elections. All of the movements toward nationalism in the US and other countries will free him up to act and attempt to get his Tsarist/Soviet greatness back. He will continue to push the borders in Ukraine and other places until he has more control over them and in the end, expands Russia back to what it was. This is his aegis, his love, and his end all be all.
Greatness in the eyes of his people.
So where is all this heading? Well, I think that Putin will continue his conquest and games unfettered while the US is in the hands of Trump. The inward looking nature of what Trump seems to be putting out there will allow for Putin to do his thing and if there is compromise on the part of this administration it will be used to profit Putin. If the IC and Justice cannot make a solid case that there was collusion on the part of Trumps minions, then the balls are all in Putin’s favor and he will use them to the max …Provided he can actually control Trump with some modicum. If however, the IC and Justice come up with the goods though, we are about to be in the middle of an ever bigger shit storm than Watergate and Nixon frankly.
Imagine the fallout should the goods be presented that Trump in fact did have kompromat on him and acted as an agent of Russia? Imagine if he is just found to have been played by Russia and his people around him were tools of that manipulation? Both scenarios lead to a Putin win in that Trump and the US will be in turmoil and encased in political amber. All of this bodes ill for the country and our politics. It really was just a matter of time though in my opinion, after all, we did have the notion back in the day with the Manchurian Candidate but this …Wow. My only hope is that the partisanship can be breached long enough to get at the truth … But I don’t have too much hope on that unless it is forced on them by the FBI.
in the meantime… smoke em if you got em kids. It’s gonna be a bad time.