(Greek: κρυπτεία / krupteía, from κρυπτός / kruptós, “hidden, secret things”)

Fringe Science Or Reality?

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Swine Flu May Be Human Error; WHO Investigates Claim

By Jason Gale and Simeon Bennett

May 13 (Bloomberg) — The World Health Organization is investigating a claim by an Australian researcher that the swine flu virus circling the globe may have been created as a result of human error.

Adrian Gibbs, 75, who collaborated on research that led to the development of Roche Holding AG’s Tamiflu drug, said in an interview that he intends to publish a report suggesting the new strain may have accidentally evolved in eggs scientists use to grow viruses and drugmakers use to make vaccines. Gibbs said he came to his conclusion as part of an effort to trace the virus’s origins by analyzing its genetic blueprint.

“One of the simplest explanations is that it’s a laboratory escape,” Gibbs said in an interview with Bloomberg Television today. “But there are lots of others.”

The World Health Organization received the study last weekend and is reviewing it, Keiji Fukuda, the agency’s assistant director-general of health security and environment, said in an interview May 11. Gibbs, who has studied germ evolution for four decades, is one of the first scientists to analyze the genetic makeup of the virus that was identified three weeks ago in Mexico and threatens to touch off the first flu pandemic since 1968.

A virus that resulted from lab experimentation or vaccine production may indicate a greater need for security, Fukuda said. By pinpointing the source of the virus, scientists also may better understand the microbe’s potential for spreading and causing illness, Gibbs said.

Possible Mistake

“The sooner we get to grips with where it’s come from, the safer things might become,” Gibbs said by phone from Canberra yesterday. “It could be a mistake” that occurred at a vaccine production facility or the virus could have jumped from a pig to another mammal or a bird before reaching humans, he said.

Gibbs and two colleagues analyzed the publicly available sequences of hundreds of amino acids coded by each of the flu virus’s eight genes. He said he aims to submit his three-page paper today for publication in a medical journal.

“You really want a very sober assessment” of the science behind the claim, Fukuda said May 11 at the WHO’s Geneva headquarters.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta has received the report and has decided there is no evidence to support Gibbs’s conclusion, said Nancy Cox, director of the agency’s influenza division. She said since researchers don’t have samples of swine flu viruses from South America and Africa, where the new strain may have evolved, those regions can’t be ruled out as natural sources for the new flu.

“This is how science progresses,” he said. “Somebody comes up with a wild idea, and then they all pounce on it and kick you to death, and then you start off on another silly idea.”

Well, this has not really made it to the “main stream” news but Bloomberg is close. Now, this story does answer some possible questions on the oddness of this disease. After all, it has traits of three different bugs within its code not just one particular type.

What’s even more interesting that this theory and paper by Gibbs has been accepted for review by WHO! So, we will see what they say as to the potential validity of this theory. Personally, I think it highly possible that this would be the way something like this would escape the labs out there where folks have been tinkering with the DNA of virus’

“Don’t fear the reaper….”

Remember “The Stand” ? Yeah….

Anyway, I am looking to procure the actual paper by Gibbs.. So once I locate that I will post it. Until then, think about this… Could this indeed have been an accidental release of a bug as byproduct of Tamiflu?

Maybe something more directed? Oh, there I go all Fringe on it….

Written by Krypt3ia

2009/05/21 at 10:58

One Response

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  1. Such things are very plausible as even the most secure test sights aren’t. This is due to human nature.

    For an accidental release of a fortified/mutated/whatever of an influenza strain is not that far a reach. Its common knowledge that the the influenza virus has been sought after as a bio-weapon due to it resiliance to anti-viral and ability to adapt or change its DNA/RNA structure to ensure its own survival. After all, the most basic instinct in all creature is “survival”. So mutation is influenza’s surity of survival.

    Hence its play-time attention by researchers the world over.


    2009/07/21 at 17:57

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